Alcorcón vs Fuenlabrada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
ART
2 - 2
ALC
22%
26%
51%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
ALC
4 - 1
ALC
44%
28%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
PPJ
0 - 0
ALC
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
ALC
1 - 0
ULP
36%
29%
35%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
CAS
1 - 2
ALC
21%
27%
52%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Fuenlabrada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
FUE
0 - 0
CEL
43%
28%
29%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
CDO
1 - 0
FUE
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
FUE
1 - 1
LAN
36%
28%
36%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
UDF
1 - 0
FUE
31%
24%
45%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
FUE
0 - 0
UDL
16%
24%
60%
|
49 | 74 | 25 | 0 |