Liga III round 5

Codlea vs Universitatea Alba Iulia analysis

Codlea Universitatea Alba Iulia
9 ELO 40
-2.8% Tilt 5.3%
15296º General ELO ranking 5591º
141º Country ELO ranking 60º
ELO win probability
10.8%
Codlea
16.1%
Draw
73.1%
Universitatea Alba Iulia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.8%
Win probability
Codlea
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.6%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
73.1%
Win probability
Universitatea Alba Iulia
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.1%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.5%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Codlea
+165%
+27%
Universitatea Alba Iulia

Points and table prediction

Codlea
Their league position
Universitatea Alba Iulia
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
10º
10º
38
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Gloria Bistriţa
40
43
100%
Unirea Alba Iulia
38
41
100%
Universitatea Alba Iulia
38
41
100%
Medias 2022
28
28
100%
ACS Târgu Mures
20
23
100%
Inter Blaj
21
21
100%
Unirea Dej
19
19
100%
Metalurgistul Cugir
17
17
84%
Avântul Reghin
14
14
84%
Codlea
10º
4
4
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Codlea
Universitatea Alba Iulia
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%

ELO progression

Codlea
Universitatea Alba Iulia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Codlea
Codlea
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Sep. 2024
MED
Medias 2022
6 - 0
Codlea
CSM
81%
12%
7%
9 33 24 0
13 Sep. 2024
UNI
Unirea Dej
4 - 0
Codlea
CSM
76%
15%
9%
9 54 45 0
07 Sep. 2024
CSM
Codlea
0 - 1
Inter Blaj
CIB
11%
16%
74%
9 27 18 0
31 Aug. 2024
BIS
Gloria Bistriţa
4 - 1
Codlea
CSM
84%
11%
6%
9 45 36 0
13 Jul. 2022
CSM
Codlea
3 - 2
Inter Stars
AFC
46%
24%
29%
9 8 1 0

Matches

Universitatea Alba Iulia
Universitatea Alba Iulia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Sep. 2024
UAI
Universitatea Alba Iulia
4 - 2
Unirea Dej
UNI
24%
26%
50%
38 54 16 0
13 Sep. 2024
CIB
Inter Blaj
0 - 0
Universitatea Alba Iulia
UAI
28%
21%
50%
38 27 11 0
07 Sep. 2024
UAI
Universitatea Alba Iulia
2 - 0
Gloria Bistriţa
BIS
27%
25%
47%
35 45 10 +3
31 Aug. 2024
FCU
Unirea Alba Iulia
3 - 0
Universitatea Alba Iulia
UAI
58%
22%
20%
35 45 10 0
14 Aug. 2024
UAI
Universitatea Alba Iulia
0 - 1
Unirea Ungheni
UNI
18%
23%
59%
36 48 12 -1