Progresul Fundulea vs Dunărea Călăraşi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
62.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
9%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+116%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
8º
4º
29
3º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
29 | 30 |
3º
|
56% | |
|
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
4º
|
56% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
56% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 28 |
6º
|
56% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 25 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
56% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
44% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresul Fundulea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
IMO
2 - 0
ACP
75%
15%
11%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ACP
2 - 0
FET
67%
18%
15%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
AXI
0 - 1
ACP
75%
14%
11%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ACP
0 - 1
GLO
24%
21%
55%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
RGD
2 - 1
ACP
79%
13%
8%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Dunărea Călăraşi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
FET
1 - 3
DUN
12%
17%
71%
|
38 | 15 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 1
GLO
62%
18%
19%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
CSM
1 - 0
DUN
20%
20%
61%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 4
GLO
31%
25%
44%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
IMO
2 - 0
DUN
19%
21%
61%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | -1 |