Acireale vs Roccella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Acireale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
STO
0 - 1
ACI
15%
18%
67%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ACI
2 - 1
MAR
71%
18%
11%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
ASD
2 - 1
ACI
29%
23%
48%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
ACI
3 - 1
USC
56%
21%
23%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
ACI
3 - 1
MES
61%
22%
17%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Roccella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
ROC
0 - 0
FCS
15%
22%
62%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
SSC
3 - 2
ROC
75%
15%
10%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
ROC
1 - 2
HYR
45%
25%
30%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
PAL
1 - 0
ROC
89%
9%
2%
|
27 | 73 | 46 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
ROC
2 - 0
BIA
38%
23%
39%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |