Acireale vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Acireale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
PAL
1 - 2
ACI
16%
21%
64%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
FCS
4 - 2
ACI
62%
22%
16%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
ACI
2 - 3
SSC
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
PAL
1 - 3
ACI
87%
11%
3%
|
34 | 73 | 39 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
ACI
2 - 0
ACC
76%
15%
9%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
MES
1 - 2
ASD
52%
22%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
SSC
2 - 1
MES
65%
19%
16%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
MES
2 - 0
PAL
75%
16%
9%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
FCS
2 - 1
MES
70%
20%
10%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
MES
1 - 0
HYR
68%
19%
14%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |