Acireale vs Marsala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Acireale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
ASD
2 - 1
ACI
29%
23%
48%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
ACI
3 - 1
USC
56%
21%
23%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
ACI
3 - 1
MES
61%
22%
17%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
PAL
1 - 2
ACI
16%
21%
64%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
FCS
4 - 2
ACI
62%
22%
16%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
MAR
0 - 2
FCS
15%
22%
63%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
SSC
2 - 1
MAR
75%
15%
10%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 1
HYR
44%
26%
31%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
PAL
3 - 1
MAR
88%
10%
2%
|
26 | 73 | 47 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
BIA
1 - 0
MAR
46%
23%
31%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |