Acireale vs Marsala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
33.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Acireale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
GEL
2 - 2
ACI
63%
19%
18%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
ACI
3 - 0
CCI
53%
23%
24%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
POR
4 - 4
ACI
47%
23%
31%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
ACI
1 - 1
PPI
76%
16%
8%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
NOC
1 - 0
ACI
76%
16%
9%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 2
MAR
34%
23%
43%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 3
PAL
44%
24%
32%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 1
REN
30%
28%
42%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
VIG
3 - 0
MAR
41%
27%
32%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 0
CAV
16%
23%
61%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | +3 |