Achel vs Ster-Francorchamps analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
33.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Achel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
ACH
4 - 2
KVL
83%
11%
6%
|
25 | 7 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
ACH
2 - 2
THA
47%
22%
32%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
WEK
2 - 3
ACH
65%
17%
17%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
ZNH
3 - 1
ACH
61%
19%
20%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
ACH
1 - 1
GRO
45%
21%
33%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ster-Francorchamps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
HUY
0 - 2
SFR
49%
23%
29%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
SFR
4 - 0
GRU
87%
9%
4%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
SFR
1 - 4
OUG
74%
15%
11%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
MAL
0 - 1
SFR
24%
22%
54%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
SFR
1 - 0
MEL
54%
21%
25%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |