Accrington Stanley vs Colchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
22.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2018 |
STA
2 - 1
WBA
79%
14%
7%
|
61 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
COV
1 - 1
STA
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
STA
1 - 1
OPA
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
LUT
4 - 1
STA
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
POS
0 - 1
STA
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
COL
1 - 0
SWI
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
COL
1 - 0
LIN
31%
27%
43%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
GRI
1 - 0
COL
24%
27%
49%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
MOR
0 - 1
COL
25%
26%
49%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
COL
3 - 1
CRA
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |