Acassuso vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
15.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Acassuso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
SMG
2 - 0
ACA
23%
29%
49%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
ACA
2 - 2
TAL
42%
28%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
UAI
1 - 2
ACA
41%
30%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
ACA
1 - 2
COM
42%
29%
29%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
ARM
1 - 0
ACA
24%
28%
48%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
MER
2 - 1
CAÑ
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
FLA
2 - 3
MER
75%
17%
8%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
COM
2 - 3
MER
68%
21%
11%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
MER
1 - 0
SMG
20%
26%
54%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | +3 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
TAL
3 - 1
MER
74%
18%
9%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | 0 |