Academy vs Elite analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
56.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Academy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
TIG
0 - 9
ACA
7%
11%
82%
|
45 | 17 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
ACA
3 - 0
LAT
41%
23%
36%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +3 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
ACA
7 - 1
EEU
90%
7%
3%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
ACA
0 - 0
BOD
53%
22%
26%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
NSI
0 - 4
ACA
6%
11%
83%
|
43 | 17 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Elite
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2019 |
EEU
1 - 7
ELI
4%
10%
86%
|
52 | 21 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
SCH
0 - 0
ELI
32%
24%
44%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
TIG
1 - 11
ELI
4%
10%
86%
|
53 | 18 | 35 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
SUN
2 - 3
ELI
11%
17%
72%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
GEO
0 - 7
ELI
9%
15%
76%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |