Académica vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.2%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
38%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2015 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
ACA
70%
19%
12%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
ACA
1 - 1
RIO
36%
28%
36%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2015 |
ACA
2 - 2
WYD
38%
29%
34%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
ACA
0 - 3
NAC
26%
26%
49%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
TON
1 - 2
ACA
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
VST
2 - 2
BOA
67%
21%
12%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
EST
2 - 0
VST
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
BET
0 - 1
VST
68%
19%
13%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
SPB
5 - 0
VST
64%
22%
14%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
VST
2 - 1
ARO
57%
25%
19%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |