Académica vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
12.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2021 |
FEI
1 - 0
ACA
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
ACA
2 - 1
COV
63%
22%
14%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
EST
1 - 2
ACA
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
ACA
2 - 1
ACV
50%
26%
25%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
ACA
1 - 1
LEX
57%
25%
18%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2021 |
VAR
1 - 2
SPC
38%
29%
33%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
ARO
0 - 0
VAR
57%
25%
18%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
VAR
1 - 3
CHA
26%
28%
46%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
POR
0 - 1
VAR
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2021 |
OLI
1 - 1
VAR
60%
23%
17%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |