Académica vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
14.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1977 |
SCP
2 - 0
ACA
82%
13%
6%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1976 |
ACA
0 - 0
ATL
77%
16%
7%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1976 |
FCP
2 - 0
ACA
80%
13%
6%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1976 |
ACA
2 - 1
CDM
67%
20%
14%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1976 |
BMA
1 - 2
ACA
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1977 |
SPB
1 - 1
EST
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1976 |
VAR
2 - 0
SPB
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1976 |
SCP
4 - 1
SPB
81%
13%
6%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1976 |
SPB
2 - 0
ATL
69%
20%
11%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1976 |
FCP
5 - 2
SPB
80%
14%
7%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |