Académica vs Real Sport Clube analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
11.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
12º
8º
20
7º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
OLI
2 - 2
ACA
25%
25%
51%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ALV
4 - 0
ACA
33%
26%
41%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ACA
3 - 0
VST
37%
25%
39%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
MON
1 - 0
ACA
20%
24%
56%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ACA
1 - 4
CAL
69%
20%
12%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Real Sport Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
REA
1 - 2
ALV
24%
26%
50%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
REA
1 - 2
GDF
31%
27%
42%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
VST
3 - 5
REA
75%
16%
9%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
REA
0 - 1
MON
40%
27%
33%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 0
REA
56%
24%
20%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -2 |