Académica vs Portimonense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
12.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ACA
0 - 0
VIT
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
FCP
3 - 1
ACA
73%
18%
10%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 1
ACA
53%
25%
23%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2011 |
ACA
0 - 0
UDL
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2011 |
VIT
0 - 2
ACA
52%
26%
22%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Portimonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2011 |
POR
2 - 1
VIT
25%
27%
48%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
SLB
1 - 1
POR
85%
11%
4%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2011 |
POR
1 - 1
NAC
25%
27%
48%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
BMA
0 - 1
POR
65%
22%
13%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
POR
1 - 1
OLH
35%
27%
38%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |