Académica vs Famalicão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
49.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
ACV
1 - 0
ACA
37%
28%
35%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ALP
1 - 2
ACA
6%
13%
82%
|
61 | 16 | 45 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
ACA
1 - 2
VIL
68%
20%
11%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
ACA
2 - 2
ESA
61%
24%
15%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
FEI
1 - 0
ACA
50%
27%
24%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Famalicão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
FAM
1 - 2
VIT
39%
27%
34%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
TON
3 - 2
FAM
23%
25%
52%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
FAM
5 - 0
PEN
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
FAM
0 - 0
MAR
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 2
FAM
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |