Académica vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
11.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
12º
8º
31
1º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
GDF
2 - 1
ACA
32%
25%
43%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ACA
1 - 1
TON
14%
20%
66%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ACA
0 - 2
SCP
71%
18%
11%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
UDL
1 - 1
ACA
36%
27%
36%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ACA
1 - 0
AMO
72%
18%
10%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 1
SLB
7%
18%
75%
|
39 | 88 | 49 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
ALV
0 - 0
CAL
57%
24%
19%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CAL
3 - 0
SPC
13%
22%
65%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
VST
1 - 2
CAL
74%
17%
9%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CAL
3 - 1
MON
24%
27%
49%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +2 |