Académica vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
46.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
12º
8º
35
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ACA
0 - 2
REA
70%
19%
12%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
OLI
2 - 2
ACA
25%
25%
51%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ALV
4 - 0
ACA
33%
26%
41%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ACA
3 - 0
VST
37%
25%
39%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
MON
1 - 0
ACA
20%
24%
56%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ALV
1 - 0
BEL
27%
27%
46%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
BEL
2 - 1
VST
59%
23%
19%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
MON
0 - 2
BEL
14%
23%
63%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BEL
1 - 1
CAL
70%
20%
10%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
GDF
1 - 1
BEL
28%
27%
46%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |