Académica vs FC Alverca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
BMA
0 - 0
ACA
56%
23%
22%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2004 |
ACA
2 - 0
MAR
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
GFC
0 - 1
ACA
58%
22%
19%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
ACA
0 - 3
MOR
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
NAC
2 - 1
ACA
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2004 |
ALV
0 - 1
VIT
47%
26%
28%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
SLB
2 - 0
ALV
74%
18%
9%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
ALV
1 - 4
UDL
36%
27%
38%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2004 |
SCP
2 - 0
ALV
70%
20%
10%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
ALV
3 - 0
EST
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |