Mario Méndez vs UDELAS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
9.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
5º
1º
23
7º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
35 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 31 |
5º
|
69.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 16 |
9º
|
48.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
48.5% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 13 |
11º
|
68% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mario Méndez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
AFM
3 - 1
SFF
70%
18%
12%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
UDP
1 - 1
AFM
38%
28%
34%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
AFM
1 - 0
VCD
73%
17%
10%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
HFC
0 - 3
AFM
15%
23%
61%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
AFM
2 - 0
SAP
75%
16%
9%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
UDELAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
UFC
2 - 3
HFC
73%
15%
12%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
SAP
0 - 2
UFC
44%
25%
31%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
UDP
2 - 1
UFC
65%
21%
14%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
UFC
1 - 2
NAC
22%
22%
56%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
SFF
1 - 2
UFC
57%
22%
22%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |