Mario Méndez vs Unión Coclé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
8.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
5º
1º
18
4º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
35 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 31 |
5º
|
69.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 16 |
9º
|
48.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
48.5% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 13 |
11º
|
68% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mario Méndez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CDU
1 - 1
AFM
16%
23%
61%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
AFM
4 - 3
ACH
76%
16%
8%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
UME
1 - 1
AFM
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 0
AFM
47%
26%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
AFM
3 - 1
OES
51%
26%
23%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Coclé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
SAP
1 - 2
VCD
53%
24%
24%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
HFC
1 - 2
SAP
41%
26%
33%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
NAC
4 - 0
SAP
74%
17%
9%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
SAP
2 - 1
NAC
13%
20%
67%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | +3 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
SAP
1 - 2
HFC
52%
22%
26%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |