Costa del Este vs Independiente II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
60.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1319%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa del Este
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
ACE
1 - 3
UFC
17%
22%
61%
|
22 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 0
ACE
78%
14%
8%
|
22 | 58 | 36 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ACE
2 - 0
HFC
14%
17%
69%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | +5 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
VCD
0 - 1
ACE
76%
16%
8%
|
16 | 48 | 32 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
ACE
3 - 2
AFM
14%
21%
65%
|
15 | 55 | 40 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
IDC
0 - 0
SAP
72%
17%
10%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
UFC
3 - 1
IDC
47%
25%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
IDC
3 - 0
AFM
30%
26%
44%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +2 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
IDC
1 - 0
CDU
72%
17%
11%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CDB
2 - 0
IDC
39%
24%
37%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |