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Serie D. Group D, Matchday 30

Prato vs Marignanese analysis

Prato Marignanese
24 ELO 22
-5% Tilt 13%
2211º General ELO ranking 29781º
97º Country ELO ranking 784º
ELO win probability
42%
Prato
26.9%
Draw
31.1%
Marignanese

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
Prato
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
31.1%
Win probability
Marignanese
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Prato
+24%
-1%
Marignanese

Points and table prediction

Prato
Their league position
Marignanese
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
29
14º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Fiorenzuola
75
75
100%
Aglianese
73
73
100%
Lentigione
65
65
100%
Prato
54
54
100%
Rimini
52
52
50%
Forli
52
52
50%
Pro Livorno
48
48
100%
Correggese
47
47
100%
Real Forte Querceta
46
46
100%
Sammaurese
10º
42
42
10º
100%
Ghivizzano Borgo
11º
41
41
11º
100%
Bagnolese
12º
40
40
12º
100%
Mezzolara
13º
39
39
13º
100%
Seravezza
14º
36
36
14º
50%
Progresso
15º
36
36
15º
50%
Sasso Marconi
16º
33
33
16º
100%
Marignanese
17º
29
29
17º
100%
Corticella
18º
24
24
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Prato
Marignanese
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation playoffs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Prato
ACP
Marignanese
MAR
Correggese
COR
Bagnolese
BAG
Fiorenzuola
FIO
Pro Livorno
PRO
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Prato
Prato
1%
X%
2%
ELO ACP ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 May. 2021
ACP
Prato
2 - 0
Correggese
COR
45%
27%
28%
310 309 1 0
18 Apr. 2021
ACP
Prato
2 - 2
Sasso Marconi
ASD
46%
27%
26%
306 239 67 0
14 Apr. 2021
MEZ
Mezzolara
1 - 1
Prato
ACP
41%
28%
32%
306 194 -112 0
10 Apr. 2021
ACP
Prato
0 - 1
Real Forte Querceta
USR
47%
27%
26%
307 264 43 -2
01 Apr. 2021
LEN
Lentigione
4 - 0
Prato
ACP
45%
27%
28%
310 311 1 -3

Matches

Marignanese
Marignanese
1%
X%
2%
ELO MAR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Apr. 2021
MAR
Marignanese
2 - 3
Real Forte Querceta
USR
45%
27%
28%
285 265 20 -2
14 Apr. 2021
LEN
Lentigione
2 - 0
Marignanese
MAR
47%
27%
26%
288 314 26 -2
11 Apr. 2021
MAR
Marignanese
4 - 1
Correggese
COR
46%
27%
27%
285 309 -24 +3
01 Apr. 2021
GHI
Ghivizzano Borgo
0 - 1
Marignanese
MAR
46%
27%
28%
284 247 -37 +1
28 Mar. 2021
MAR
Marignanese
1 - 1
Sammaurese
SAM
47%
27%
26%
284 262 22 0