Serie D Group D Round 22

Prato vs Progresso analysis

Prato Progresso
37 ELO 28
-12.3% Tilt 1.4%
5200º General ELO ranking 5753º
187º Country ELO ranking 209º
ELO win probability
63.8%
Prato
20.3%
Draw
15.8%
Progresso

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
Prato
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15.8%
Win probability
Progresso
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Prato
-35%
+38%
Progresso

Points and table prediction

Prato
Their league position
Progresso
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
16º
38
18º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Ravenna FC
72
72
0%
AC Carpi
72
72
0%
Lentigione
59
62
73.5%
Corticella
58
61
17%
Forli
61
61
0%
Victor San Marino
60
60
50.5%
Sangiuliano City Nova
47
47
0%
Prato
47
47
0%
Fanfulla
47
47
0%
Sant Angelo
12º
42
45
10º
50.5%
Imolese
10º
44
45
11º
50.5%
Aglianese
11º
44
44
12º
50.5%
Sammaurese
13º
41
41
13º
100%
Progresso
14º
38
38
14º
94%
Pistoiese
15º
32
33
15º
94%
Borgo San Donnino
16º
28
28
16º
100%
Calcio Certaldo
17º
27
27
17º
100%
Mezzolara
18º
23
23
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Prato
Progresso
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 94%
Relegation
0% 6%

ELO progression

Prato
Progresso
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Prato
Prato
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jan. 2024
ACA
Aglianese
2 - 0
Prato
ACP
45%
26%
29%
37 41 4 0
21 Jan. 2024
ACP
Prato
0 - 0
Mezzolara
MEZ
63%
21%
17%
38 31 7 -1
14 Jan. 2024
RAV
Ravenna FC
4 - 0
Prato
ACP
67%
20%
14%
39 50 11 -1
07 Jan. 2024
ACP
Prato
2 - 1
AC Carpi
CAR
13%
20%
68%
38 52 14 +1
20 Dec. 2023
ACP
Prato
1 - 2
Corticella
COR
29%
25%
45%
39 48 9 -1

Matches

Progresso
Progresso
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jan. 2024
PRO
Progresso
1 - 0
Calcio Certaldo
CER
61%
21%
19%
29 21 8 0
21 Jan. 2024
IMO
Imolese
3 - 1
Progresso
PRO
73%
19%
9%
29 46 17 0
14 Jan. 2024
PRO
Progresso
0 - 0
Sangiuliano City Nova
SAN
16%
21%
63%
29 43 14 0
07 Jan. 2024
FOR
Forli
2 - 0
Progresso
PRO
77%
15%
8%
30 44 14 -1
20 Dec. 2023
PRO
Progresso
2 - 2
Mezzolara
MEZ
35%
26%
40%
30 34 4 0