Pavia vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
29.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1953 |
ACM
4 - 1
PAV
67%
19%
14%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1953 |
PAV
1 - 0
ASS
43%
25%
32%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1953 |
VER
5 - 1
PAV
67%
19%
14%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
PAV
2 - 0
USA
44%
24%
32%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
MOD
2 - 2
PAV
64%
21%
15%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1953 |
BRE
1 - 1
PRO
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1953 |
BRE
2 - 0
PAD
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1953 |
CAT
4 - 1
BRE
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1953 |
MES
1 - 1
BRE
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
VIC
2 - 1
BRE
56%
24%
21%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |