AC Paranavaí vs Toledo EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
33.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Paranavaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
RIO
3 - 2
ACP
61%
22%
18%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
ACP
1 - 1
RIO
29%
24%
47%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
ACP
1 - 1
PAR
19%
25%
56%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
PFC
3 - 0
ACP
26%
22%
53%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -2 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
ACP
2 - 1
GEM
57%
22%
22%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Toledo EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2021 |
GEM
2 - 0
TCW
42%
24%
34%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 1
TCW
72%
20%
8%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
TCW
1 - 1
AFC
30%
23%
47%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
LON
0 - 0
TCW
79%
15%
6%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
COT
5 - 1
TCW
83%
13%
4%
|
39 | 72 | 33 | -1 |