AC Monza vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1957 |
ASS
2 - 1
ACM
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1957 |
UNI
1 - 1
ASS
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1957 |
SSS
4 - 0
ASS
47%
24%
28%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1957 |
ASS
2 - 1
CAT
42%
27%
32%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1957 |
ASS
4 - 0
MES
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1957 |
PAR
4 - 0
SSS
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1957 |
PAR
4 - 0
CAG
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +2 |
| 02 Jun. 1957 |
USA
2 - 0
PAR
68%
19%
14%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1957 |
PAR
2 - 2
PRO
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1957 |
NOV
1 - 0
PAR
72%
17%
11%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |