AC Monza vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
35.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2021 |
NUO
0 - 3
ASS
30%
29%
41%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
ASS
1 - 0
LEC
32%
26%
42%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
SAL
1 - 3
ASS
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
ASS
2 - 1
USC
41%
28%
31%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
ASC
1 - 0
ASS
36%
28%
36%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2021 |
BRE
4 - 3
PIS
59%
21%
19%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
VIC
0 - 3
BRE
29%
26%
45%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
BRE
3 - 1
SPA
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
EMP
4 - 2
BRE
63%
21%
17%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
BRE
1 - 1
PES
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |