AC Marzotto vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
26.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Marzotto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1961 |
SSS
2 - 0
ACM
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
ACM
0 - 2
GEN
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1961 |
ACM
1 - 0
COM
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
ASS
3 - 0
ACM
66%
21%
14%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
ACM
3 - 0
USF
46%
25%
30%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1961 |
PAR
0 - 1
REG
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
ACP
1 - 1
PAR
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1961 |
USA
0 - 0
PAR
69%
19%
13%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
PAR
0 - 0
MES
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
VER
1 - 0
PAR
67%
19%
15%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |