Mantova vs Piacenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
35.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ABN
1 - 0
MAN
48%
27%
25%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
FER
1 - 1
MAN
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
PIA
2 - 1
MAN
46%
25%
30%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 1
GER
52%
24%
25%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
LEG
1 - 1
MAN
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
VIR
1 - 1
PIA
32%
27%
41%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
PIA
1 - 1
PRO
54%
26%
21%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2021 |
TRI
2 - 2
PIA
42%
27%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
PIA
2 - 1
MAN
46%
25%
30%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
PIA
0 - 0
TRE
67%
20%
13%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |