Mantova vs Mezzolara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.1%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20%
11%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11%
3.8%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+76%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
CRE
2 - 2
MAN
11%
20%
70%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
FAN
0 - 1
MAN
12%
20%
68%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
MAN
4 - 2
ADR
77%
15%
8%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 1
MAN
10%
19%
71%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
MAN
5 - 1
ASD
87%
10%
3%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Mezzolara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
MEZ
1 - 4
ADR
41%
23%
36%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
ASD
0 - 2
MEZ
32%
25%
44%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
MEZ
1 - 1
FAN
47%
23%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
MEZ
2 - 1
SAV
44%
23%
34%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
LEN
1 - 0
MEZ
47%
26%
27%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |