Mantova vs Forli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.8%
11%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11%
4%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+93%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ASD
1 - 1
MAN
11%
18%
71%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
MAN
1 - 1
USD
87%
10%
4%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
LEN
2 - 2
MAN
11%
20%
69%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
MAN
2 - 1
SAM
88%
9%
3%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
CAL
2 - 2
MAN
12%
19%
69%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
FOR
0 - 0
MEZ
48%
24%
28%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
ASD
3 - 1
FOR
37%
24%
39%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
FOR
0 - 1
FAN
53%
23%
25%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
FOR
2 - 1
LEN
42%
25%
33%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
ADR
2 - 1
FOR
52%
21%
27%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |