Mantova vs Bassano Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
54.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
GER
0 - 0
MAN
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 3
PAD
20%
26%
54%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ACL
3 - 2
MAN
43%
27%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MAN
2 - 0
CUN
43%
27%
30%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
REG
1 - 1
MAN
67%
21%
13%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Bassano Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
BV5
1 - 0
POR
48%
27%
25%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
PRO
0 - 1
BV5
11%
20%
69%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
USA
1 - 2
BV5
43%
28%
29%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
BV5
2 - 0
GER
56%
25%
19%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
CUN
2 - 2
BV5
20%
27%
53%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |