Mantova vs Franciacorta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
7.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+89%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 1
MAN
10%
19%
71%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
MAN
5 - 1
ASD
87%
10%
3%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
MAN
3 - 4
PSM
73%
18%
9%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
USD
1 - 3
MAN
15%
21%
64%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
MAN
4 - 2
LEN
80%
14%
5%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Franciacorta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
ADR
1 - 2
ALF
84%
11%
6%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
FAN
1 - 1
ADR
50%
22%
28%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
ADR
3 - 2
SAV
67%
17%
15%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
ASD
1 - 1
ADR
17%
20%
63%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
ADR
1 - 1
COR
64%
18%
18%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |