Mantova vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
33.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
FER
1 - 3
MAN
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
MAN
2 - 1
RAV
71%
18%
12%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
MAN
2 - 0
ARZ
54%
23%
23%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
VIR
1 - 1
MAN
37%
25%
37%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
MAN
0 - 0
MOD
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
LEG
0 - 1
CES
14%
20%
66%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
CES
0 - 0
MOD
55%
25%
21%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
MAT
2 - 2
CES
28%
23%
48%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
CES
4 - 0
RAV
74%
16%
9%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
VIS
0 - 2
CES
17%
23%
61%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |