Lumezzane vs Folgore Caratese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
11.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
74
1º
6º
1º
36
10º
18º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
74 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 53 |
5º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
42% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 48 |
8º
|
61.5% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 47 |
9º
|
61.5% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
38 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
36 | 39 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 37 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 37 |
15º
|
45% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
92.5% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 26 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 15 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 83% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 17% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
ACL
3 - 0
ASD
64%
22%
14%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 3
ACL
22%
26%
52%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ACL
4 - 2
CAL
51%
25%
24%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
ACM
3 - 2
ACL
88%
9%
3%
|
41 | 91 | 50 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
ACL
33%
27%
41%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
FOL
3 - 0
CAR
48%
25%
27%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
USP
2 - 1
FOL
43%
27%
31%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
FOL
1 - 2
ASD
39%
24%
37%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ARC
1 - 1
FOL
65%
19%
16%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
FOL
1 - 2
CAL
33%
25%
42%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |