Lumezzane vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
11.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2006 |
PRO
3 - 1
ACL
38%
27%
35%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
ACL
2 - 1
GIU
46%
28%
26%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
RAV
2 - 1
ACL
54%
26%
20%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
ACL
0 - 1
GEN
21%
26%
54%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
PAD
0 - 1
ACL
63%
22%
15%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2006 |
FER
0 - 1
ASS
23%
28%
50%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
NOV
2 - 1
FER
71%
20%
10%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
FER
0 - 1
SPE
21%
28%
51%
|
37 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
CTT
3 - 0
FER
65%
22%
13%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
FER
0 - 1
SAL
21%
27%
52%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | -1 |