AC Este vs Luparense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
19.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Este
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
VIR
1 - 3
ACE
39%
26%
35%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ACE
3 - 0
CER
61%
21%
18%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ACE
2 - 1
TUT
67%
19%
14%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
SCA
0 - 3
ACE
30%
26%
45%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
ACE
1 - 1
RAV
23%
24%
53%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Luparense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 2
SCA
61%
21%
18%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
RAV
0 - 0
SAN
66%
20%
14%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
LAN
53%
23%
24%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
VIR
0 - 3
SAN
29%
25%
47%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
4 - 1
PEL
76%
16%
9%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |