Cesena vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
60.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
NOV
3 - 0
CES
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
CES
0 - 1
UDI
19%
25%
56%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
INT
2 - 1
CES
84%
11%
5%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
CES
0 - 1
JUV
15%
25%
60%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CES
2 - 2
PAL
22%
26%
52%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
ROM
2 - 2
CAT
67%
19%
14%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 0
ROM
24%
26%
50%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
ROM
2 - 2
NAP
48%
24%
27%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
ROM
1 - 2
FIO
66%
20%
14%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
JUV
4 - 0
ROM
59%
22%
20%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |