Cesena vs AS Gubbio 1910 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
13.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CES
2 - 0
GEN
27%
28%
45%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
BOL
0 - 1
CES
59%
24%
17%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CES
0 - 1
LEC
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
PAR
2 - 0
CES
62%
24%
15%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
CES
1 - 1
CAG
29%
27%
44%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
AS Gubbio 1910
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ASG
0 - 1
EMP
25%
28%
47%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
PES
2 - 1
ASG
68%
20%
12%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
ASG
0 - 1
SAS
24%
28%
49%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
VIC
3 - 1
ASG
50%
27%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2011 |
ASG
1 - 0
CTT
30%
28%
42%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |