Cesena vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
13.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
FCS
1 - 1
CES
51%
25%
25%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
CES
0 - 2
IMO
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
SSS
0 - 2
CES
35%
26%
39%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
RAV
2 - 2
CES
12%
20%
68%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
CES
0 - 0
MAN
53%
23%
24%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
ARZ
1 - 1
RAV
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
LEG
1 - 1
ARZ
39%
27%
34%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
ARZ
4 - 2
VIS
46%
26%
29%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
MOD
3 - 1
ARZ
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
FCS
1 - 0
ARZ
67%
20%
13%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |