AC Bellinzona vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
64.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
16.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1986 |
SIO
5 - 2
BEL
77%
14%
9%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1986 |
BEL
2 - 0
STG
32%
27%
41%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 1984 |
BAS
5 - 1
BEL
80%
13%
7%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1984 |
BEL
3 - 4
SIO
22%
27%
51%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1984 |
GCZ
1 - 0
BEL
82%
12%
6%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1986 |
NEX
2 - 0
LAU
69%
18%
13%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1986 |
FCA
0 - 5
NEX
40%
25%
35%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1986 |
VEV
2 - 2
NEX
16%
24%
60%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1986 |
NEX
1 - 4
YOB
65%
20%
16%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1986 |
GCZ
2 - 3
NEX
43%
25%
32%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |