AC Bellinzona vs Etoile Carouge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
30.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
SIO
1 - 4
BEL
14%
20%
66%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
BEL
2 - 0
BAS
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
BEL
0 - 0
YOU
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
LOC
0 - 3
BEL
6%
13%
80%
|
54 | 19 | 35 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
FCA
9 - 0
BEL
66%
18%
16%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Etoile Carouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
ETO
3 - 2
STA
32%
25%
43%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
BAV
0 - 1
ETO
39%
25%
35%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
ETO
1 - 2
STG
7%
14%
79%
|
51 | 75 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
ETO
0 - 0
BLA
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
CHA
1 - 0
ETO
43%
24%
33%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |