Bellaria Igea vs Imolese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
60.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bellaria Igea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
LEN
1 - 1
VIN
81%
13%
6%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
VIN
1 - 3
LEG
15%
22%
63%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ROM
1 - 1
VIN
68%
18%
14%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
VIN
1 - 2
FOR
9%
18%
73%
|
18 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
RIB
6 - 1
VIN
77%
15%
9%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Imolese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
IMO
1 - 1
RAV
49%
24%
28%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
DEL
0 - 0
IMO
53%
24%
23%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
IMO
3 - 1
SAN
30%
26%
44%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +3 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
IMO
3 - 2
VIR
39%
23%
39%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
COR
3 - 1
IMO
56%
22%
22%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |