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Serie D. Group D, Matchday 23

Aglianese Rimini
33 ELO 31
56% Tilt 20%
4000º General ELO ranking 4321º
110º Country ELO ranking 115º
ELO win probability
60.6%
Aglianese
19.9%
Draw
19.6%
Rimini

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
Aglianese
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
19.6%
Win probability
Rimini
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aglianese
+62%
+32%
Rimini

Points and table prediction

Aglianese
Their league position
Rimini
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
73
52
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Fiorenzuola
75
75
100%
Aglianese
73
73
100%
Lentigione
65
65
100%
Prato
54
54
100%
Rimini
52
52
50%
Forli
52
52
50%
Pro Livorno
48
48
100%
Correggese
47
47
100%
Real Forte Querceta
46
46
100%
Sammaurese
10º
42
42
10º
100%
Ghivizzano Borgo
11º
41
41
11º
100%
Bagnolese
12º
40
40
12º
100%
Mezzolara
13º
39
39
13º
100%
Seravezza
14º
36
36
14º
50%
Progresso
15º
36
36
15º
50%
Sasso Marconi
16º
33
33
16º
100%
Marignanese
17º
29
29
17º
100%
Corticella
18º
24
24
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Aglianese
Rimini
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
100% 50%
Mid-table
0% 50%
Relegation playoffs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Rimini
RIM
Aglianese
ACA
Mezzolara
MEZ
Sammaurese
SAM
Fiorenzuola
FIO
Corticella
COR
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aglianese
Aglianese
1%
X%
2%
ELO ACA ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Mar. 2021
COR
Corticella
1 - 1
Aglianese
ACA
42%
27%
31%
429 273 -156 0
07 Mar. 2021
FOR
Forli
0 - 0
Aglianese
ACA
40%
28%
32%
430 221 -209 0
28 Feb. 2021
ACA
Aglianese
0 - 1
Seravezza
SER
49%
26%
25%
431 314 117 -2
24 Feb. 2021
BAG
Bagnolese
0 - 1
Aglianese
ACA
62%
22%
17%
429 1118 689 +2
20 Feb. 2021
ACA
Aglianese
1 - 0
Marignanese
MAR
47%
27%
26%
428 283 145 +1

Matches

Rimini
Rimini
1%
X%
2%
ELO RIM ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Mar. 2021
RIM
Rimini
4 - 1
Sasso Marconi
ASD
51%
25%
23%
396 242 154 +2
28 Apr. 2021
SER
Seravezza
1 - 0
Rimini
RIM
41%
28%
31%
396 315 -81 0
25 Apr. 2021
RIM
Rimini
1 - 1
Lentigione
LEN
47%
27%
26%
396 305 91 0
24 Feb. 2021
FOR
Forli
0 - 1
Rimini
RIM
39%
28%
33%
394 223 -171 +1
20 Feb. 2021
RIM
Rimini
1 - 2
Real Forte Querceta
USR
47%
27%
26%
396 263 133 -2