Aglianese vs Bagnolese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.1%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.1%
5.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aglianese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
ACA
1 - 0
SAM
78%
14%
8%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
RIM
1 - 3
ACA
54%
24%
22%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
ACA
3 - 0
FOR
56%
22%
23%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
SER
2 - 4
ACA
55%
21%
23%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 2
ACA
27%
22%
51%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Bagnolese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
BAG
0 - 1
USR
18%
21%
61%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
PRO
2 - 1
BAG
69%
17%
14%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
FIO
1 - 0
BAG
74%
17%
9%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
BAG
3 - 1
SAM
29%
25%
46%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
BAG
4 - 1
COR
68%
17%
15%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |