Aberystwyth Town vs Penybont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
40.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
SAL
0 - 0
ABE
6%
12%
82%
|
53 | 17 | 36 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
CEF
0 - 1
ABE
19%
22%
59%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
ABE
0 - 1
CAE
32%
24%
44%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
TNS
3 - 0
ABE
76%
15%
9%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ABE
4 - 1
CEF
78%
13%
9%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
PEN
0 - 0
CAE
41%
23%
36%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
PEN
2 - 1
HAV
58%
22%
20%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
NEW
3 - 1
PEN
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 1
CAE
41%
25%
34%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
CAM
1 - 3
PEN
17%
21%
63%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | +1 |