Abergavenny Town vs Trefelin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
41.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abergavenny Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
BRI
3 - 0
ABE
82%
12%
6%
|
24 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
ABE
1 - 5
LLA
11%
17%
71%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
NWC
0 - 2
ABE
10%
14%
76%
|
25 | 9 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
ABE
2 - 1
CWM
15%
17%
69%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
AAF
3 - 1
ABE
70%
16%
14%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Trefelin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
LLA
1 - 2
TRE
75%
15%
10%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
TRE
1 - 2
CWM
25%
19%
56%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
GOY
1 - 3
TRE
50%
20%
30%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
TRE
3 - 3
LLA
19%
19%
62%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
CAR
6 - 1
TRE
84%
10%
6%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |