Aberdeen vs Raith Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
STI
0 - 5
ABE
11%
21%
69%
|
75 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
ABE
2 - 0
DUM
82%
13%
5%
|
74 | 43 | 31 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
PET
0 - 2
ABE
12%
22%
67%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
ABE
7 - 1
BRE
78%
15%
7%
|
74 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
ABE
1 - 1
STJ
52%
25%
24%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Raith Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
DUM
0 - 0
RAI
12%
20%
69%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
RAI
1 - 1
STI
81%
13%
6%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
RAI
6 - 0
PET
74%
16%
10%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
RAI
4 - 0
ALL
68%
18%
14%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
KHE
1 - 1
RAI
39%
24%
37%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |